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News
X Open Source Before September? Manifold Traders Price 11% Odds After Musk's 'Next Month' Pledge
1+ hour, 31+ min ago (643+ words) Industry insights, the latest tech news, and special interviews, all in the Tech Insider Newsletter. As of July 28, 2026, Manifold traders assign an 11% implied probability to YES, meaning the market thinks it is far more likely than not that X will…...
NASA Confirms Aliens Before 2027? Inside the 1% Manifold Market Traders Keep Betting On
1+ week, 3+ day ago (333+ words) Those markets have traded higher than the Manifold contract, generally in the high single digits to the low twenties depending on the platform and the news cycle, and they involve real capital rather than play money. For a side-by-side look…...